tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Little Rock → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:13 LIT → 16:18 ORD
    AA 3398 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 05m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:11 ORD → 18:54 BNA
    AA 3383 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 63% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 41mLIT 14:13 to BNA 18:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.