tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Atlanta via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 18:54 AUS → 20:11 DFW
    AA 3402 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 17m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 00:19 ATL +1 day
    AA 2749 · American · 2h 09m · 55% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 25mAUS 18:54 to ATL 00:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.