tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Philadelphia via Miami: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 AVL → 08:04 MIA
    AA 3405 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 04m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MIA → 11:55 PHL
    AA 551 · American · 2h 55m · 86% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 55mAVL 06:00 to PHL 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.