Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 19:04 AVL → 20:29 ORD
    AA 3406 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 25m · 63% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:42 ORD → 00:55 PHL +1 day
    AA 490 · American · 2h 14m · 56% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 52mAVL 19:04 to PHL 00:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.