tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Nashville via Miami: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:05 BHM → 09:07 MIA
    AA 3423 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 02m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in Miami (MIA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:40 MIA → 13:00 BNA
    WN 2922 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 55mBHM 06:05 to BNA 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.