tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Anchorage via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:57 MSP → 15:42 ORD
    AA 3432 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 45m · 83% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 ORD → 20:51 ANC
    AA 1354 · American · 6h 52m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip9h 55mMSP 13:57 to ANC 20:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.