tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Providence via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 10:42 BNA → 12:38 ORD
    AA 3439 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 ORD → 17:11 PVD
    AA 3771 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 30m · 84% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 28mBNA 10:42 to PVD 17:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.