Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Seattle → Anchorage via Phoenix: arrives on time 39%
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15:20 SEA → 18:25 PHXAA 3440 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 01m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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53m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:18 PHX → 23:59 ANCAA 1981 · American · 5h 41m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 9h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip9h 39mSEA 15:20 to ANC 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.