tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Monterey via Phoenix: arrives on time 74%

  1. 15:20 SEA → 18:25 PHX
    AA 3440 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 01m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:37 PHX → 22:33 MRY
    AA 6374 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 56m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 13mSEA 15:20 to MRY 22:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.