tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Baltimore via Phoenix: arrives on time 88%

  1. 15:20 SEA → 18:25 PHX
    AA 3440 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 01m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:25 PHX → 05:40 BWI +1 day
    WN 1170 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip11h 20mSEA 15:20 to BWI 05:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.