tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 58%

  1. 10:31 BWI → 11:46 ORD
    AA 3446 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 15m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 ORD → 16:28 JFK
    AA 4371 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 71% on time, 11.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (11.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 57mBWI 10:31 to JFK 16:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.