tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Manchester via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 10:31 BWI → 11:46 ORD
    AA 3446 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 15m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:19 ORD → 17:47 MHT
    AA 4400 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 28m · 87% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 16mBWI 10:31 to MHT 17:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.