tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Portland via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 10:31 BWI → 11:46 ORD
    AA 3446 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 15m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 ORD → 18:58 PWM
    AA 4774 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 34m · 86% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 169 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 23mBWI 10:31 to PWM 18:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.