tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → Newark via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 39%

  1. 12:21 CHA → 13:39 DFW
    AA 3451 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 18m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 DFW → 19:04 EWR
    AA 618 · American · 3h 39m · 56% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 43mCHA 12:21 to EWR 19:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.