tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 13:38 PVD → 15:30 ORD
    AA 3453 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 52m · 90% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:11 ORD → 18:54 BNA
    AA 3383 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 63% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Providence). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 16mPVD 13:38 to BNA 18:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.