tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Phoenix via Cedar Rapids: arrives on time 86%

  1. 10:39 DCA → 12:10 CID
    AA 3462 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 34m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Cedar Rapids (CID) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 CID → 15:58 PHX
    AA 4081 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 20m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 21mDCA 10:39 to PHX 15:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.