tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Little Rock → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:24 LIT → 16:26 ORD
    AA 3471 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 02m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 ORD → 19:28 LAS
    AA 3292 · American · 3h 58m · 58% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Little Rock). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 04mLIT 14:24 to LAS 19:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.