tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Philadelphia via Miami: arrives on time 55%

  1. 18:25 CVG → 21:04 MIA
    AA 3487 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:04 MIA → 00:55 PHL +1 day
    AA 2188 · American · 2h 51m · 76% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 30mCVG 18:25 to PHL 00:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.