tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Chicago via Miami: arrives on time 35%

  1. 18:25 CVG → 21:04 MIA
    AA 3487 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 MIA → 00:26 ORD +1 day
    AA 2323 · American · 3h 36m · 63% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 01mCVG 18:25 to ORD 00:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.