tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 37%

  1. 18:25 CVG → 21:04 MIA
    AA 3487 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:09 MIA → 23:15 TPA
    AA 3188 · American · 1h 06m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip4h 50mCVG 18:25 to TPA 23:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.