tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Hebron: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:06 ORD → 09:35 CVG
    AA 3489 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 29m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:49 CVG → 14:00 JFK
    AA 4408 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 11m · 81% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 54mORD 07:06 to JFK 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.