tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Birmingham via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 10:00 ORD → 12:32 DTW
    AA 3498 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:51 DTW → 16:55 BHM
    DL 4647 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 04m · 82% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 55mORD 10:00 to BHM 16:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.