tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Knoxville via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 10:00 ORD → 12:32 DTW
    AA 3498 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:19 DTW → 18:02 TYS
    DL 4941 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 43m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 02mORD 10:00 to TYS 18:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.