tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Panama City Beach → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 16:51 ECP → 19:10 DFW
    AA 3502 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 18m · 54% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 DFW → 22:08 BNA
    AA 1500 · American · 1h 55m · 54% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 16mECP 16:51 to BNA 22:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.