tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 43%

  1. 13:00 STS → 15:09 PHX
    AA 3514 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 09m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:04 PHX → 19:15 LAS
    AA 1022 · American · 1h 11m · 44% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip6h 15mSTS 13:00 to LAS 19:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.