tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 60%

  1. 13:00 STS → 15:09 PHX
    AA 3514 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 09m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:48 PHX → 18:16 LAX
    AA 2930 · American · 1h 27m · 68% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 15mSTS 13:00 to LAX 18:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.