tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:00 STS → 15:09 PHX
    AA 3514 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 09m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 PHX → 21:50 DFW
    AA 3232 · American · 2h 35m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Santa Rosa). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 50mSTS 13:00 to DFW 21:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.