tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:00 STS → 15:09 PHX
    AA 3514 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 09m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 51m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 PHX → 23:25 DFW
    AA 633 · American · 2h 25m · 60% on time, 8.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Santa Rosa). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 186 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 51m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (8.7% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip8h 25mSTS 13:00 to DFW 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.