tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 13:00 STS → 15:09 PHX
    AA 3514 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 09m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:53 PHX → 20:23 SAN
    AS 3060 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 71% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 23mSTS 13:00 to SAN 20:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.