tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 60%

  1. 13:00 STS → 15:09 PHX
    AA 3514 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 09m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:00 PHX → 19:10 SNA
    WN 4906 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 63% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 10mSTS 13:00 to SNA 19:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.