tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Dallas-Fort Worth via Miami: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:47 EYW → 14:40 MIA
    AA 3518 · American, flown by Envoy · 53m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 MIA → 17:50 DFW
    AA 1199 · American · 3h 20m · 57% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Key West). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 03mEYW 13:47 to DFW 17:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.