tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Philadelphia via Miami: arrives on time 66%

  1. 13:47 EYW → 14:40 MIA
    AA 3518 · American, flown by Envoy · 53m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:12 MIA → 21:10 PHL
    AA 922 · American · 2h 58m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 23mEYW 13:47 to PHL 21:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.