tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 60%

  1. 16:44 EYW → 19:16 CLT
    AA 3519 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:28 CLT → 23:53 DCA
    AA 1269 · American · 1h 26m · 64% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 10mEYW 16:44 to DCA 23:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.