tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Key West → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:44 EYW → 19:16 CLT
    AA 3519 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:02 CLT → 23:46 PHL
    F9 1328 · Frontier · 1h 44m · 62% on time, 6.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 76 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (6.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 02mEYW 16:44 to PHL 23:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.