tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → El Paso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 19:26 ORD → 22:08 DFW
    AA 3544 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 42m · 73% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 DFW → 23:46 ELP
    AA 1607 · American · 1h 47m · 54% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 20mORD 19:26 to ELP 23:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.