tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Albuquerque via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 19:26 ORD → 22:08 DFW
    AA 3544 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 42m · 73% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:56 DFW → 23:48 ABQ
    AA 2564 · American · 1h 52m · 60% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 22mORD 19:26 to ABQ 23:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.