tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Miami: arrives on time 80%

  1. 19:32 TPA → 20:37 MIA
    AA 3555 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 05m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:56 MIA → 23:59 BHM
    AA 3427 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 03m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 27mTPA 19:32 to BHM 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.