tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 51%

  1. 09:30 HOU → 10:59 DFW
    AA 3573 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 29m · 80% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 DFW → 14:58 SFO
    AA 2997 · American · 3h 43m · 54% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip7h 28mHOU 09:30 to SFO 14:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.