tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 71%

  1. 09:30 HOU → 10:59 DFW
    AA 3573 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 29m · 80% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:07 DFW → 15:22 SDF
    AA 3758 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 15m · 88% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 52mHOU 09:30 to SDF 15:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.