tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Charlotte via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 16:18 IAH → 17:48 DFW
    AA 3583 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:54 DFW → 22:38 CLT
    AA 1229 · American · 2h 44m · 53% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 20mIAH 16:18 to CLT 22:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.