tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:18 IAH → 17:48 DFW
    AA 3583 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 DFW → 20:03 AUS
    AA 789 · American · 1h 03m · 55% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip3h 45mIAH 16:18 to AUS 20:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.