tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:45 TUL → 08:57 ORD
    AA 3590 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:19 ORD → 13:34 LGA
    AA 1015 · American · 2h 15m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 49mTUL 06:45 to LGA 13:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.