tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 60%

  1. 06:45 TUL → 08:57 ORD
    AA 3590 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:47 ORD → 14:40 DCA
    AA 1200 · American · 2h 00m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 02mTUL 06:45 to DCA 14:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.