tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Miami via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:45 TUL → 08:57 ORD
    AA 3590 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 ORD → 14:16 MIA
    AA 1474 · American · 3h 13m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 32mTUL 06:45 to MIA 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.