tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:45 TUL → 08:57 ORD
    AA 3590 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:16 ORD → 12:15 LAS
    AA 2016 · American · 3h 56m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip7h 27mTUL 06:45 to LAS 12:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.