tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:45 TUL → 08:57 ORD
    AA 3590 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 ORD → 13:59 DCA
    AA 4809 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 14m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 14mTUL 06:45 to DCA 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.