tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Austin via Miami: arrives on time 34%

  1. 19:37 JAX → 20:57 MIA
    AA 3605 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 20m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 MIA → 23:59 AUS
    AA 1427 · American · 2h 49m · 60% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 22mJAX 19:37 to AUS 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.