tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:00 JAX → 08:19 MIA
    AA 3607 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 19m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 39m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:58 MIA → 12:37 DCA
    AA 2915 · American · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 39m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 36mJAX 07:00 to DCA 12:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.