tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Miami: arrives on time 67%

  1. 17:26 BHM → 20:28 MIA
    AA 3629 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 02m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:13 MIA → 00:19 TPA +1 day
    AA 1714 · American · 1h 06m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 53mBHM 17:26 to TPA 00:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.