tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Midland → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:21 MAF → 15:47 DFW
    AA 3652 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 26m · 72% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:37 DFW → 17:09 PHX
    AA 1155 · American · 2h 32m · 66% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Midland). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 48mMAF 14:21 to PHX 17:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.